Election Experts Puzzled Over Surprise Trump Victory

Photo credit: Penn State

Photo credit: Penn State

Penn State political science Professor Eric Plutzer was quoted in a recent Voice of America article about the 2016 presidential election. Here’s an excerpt:

“Whatever the conclusions are in the association’s upcoming report, Plutzer said future demand for polling is expected to remain as strong as ever.

” ‘The public’s insatiable demand for polls, there were over 1,000 national horse-race polls in this election, is unlikely to disappear,’ he said.

“But Plutzer added the polling industry will be forced to develop innovative polls that try to understand how ordinary voters think rather than just trying to determine where candidates stand in their efforts to win elections.”

Read more at VOAnews.com.

Pollster: Trump win a ‘big, fat middle finger’ from middle America

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Christopher Beem, managing director of the McCourtney Institute for Democracy at Penn State, was quoted in a recent San Diego Union-Tribune article about the 2016 presidential election. Here’s an excerpt:

“Trump’s win, he said, occurred through a convergence of economic and societal issues that were important to white working-class voters. Those voters, Beem said, were driven by their anger over feeling abandoned by corporate America and government and their resentment over transgender and movements such as Black Lives Matter.  Those sentiments, he said, then were lumped on top of a dislike for Hillary Clinton, and that dislike grew after FBI Director James Comey’s announcement 10 days before the election that he was renewing a probe of Clinton’s emails.

“ ‘All of those things were factors but how you would begin to parse them out and assign percentages, I have no idea,’ Beem said. ‘I think a lot of people hear  “transgender bathrooms” and that’s too much, I can’t accept that. All of those things come together to create this feeling of “This isn’t my country anymore and it makes me angry and this is my opportunity to express my anger.” ’ ”

Read more at SanDiegoTribune.com.

What we thought we knew …

Donald Trump speaks at a December 2015 campaign stop at Mid-America Center in Council Bluffs, Iowa. Photo Credit: Matt A.J./Flickr

Donald Trump speaks at a December 2015 campaign stop at Mid-America Center in Council Bluffs, Iowa. Photo Credit: Matt A.J./Flickr

Christopher Beem, managing director of the McCourtney Institute for Democracy at Penn State, was quoted in a recent Philadelphia Inquire political column about the 2016 presidential election. Here’s an excerpt:

“Trump lugged around more negatives than Clinton. Didn’t matter. He’s untested in governing and public service. Apparently, that was a plus.

“But there is the issue of running the country.

“And when I asked Christopher Beem, who runs Penn State’s McCourtney Institute of Democracy, how Trump might do that, here’s what he said: ‘God only knows. It’s a complete crapshoot. . . . It’s like a guy who’s got a Swiss watch that’s not working right. You maybe can open it up. But how do you make it work better?’

“I guess that (and so much more) just remains to be seen.”

Read more at Philly.com.

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